Guestbook

Michaelcum

11 Jun 2025 - 08:26 pm

There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
геи жестко
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.

It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”

Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.

Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.

The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.

All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.

For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.

It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.

The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.

The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.

Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.

The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.

Jamesred

10 Jun 2025 - 12:08 am

Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
aya group
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.

Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.

ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.

Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.

Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия.

Danielteava

09 Jun 2025 - 08:47 pm

Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
айя групп
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.

Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.

ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.

Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.

Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия.

Pablojeoms

09 Jun 2025 - 06:46 pm

Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
aya group вакансии
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.

Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.

ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.

Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.

Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия.

Danielutify

09 Jun 2025 - 06:30 pm

Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
aya group consulting
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.

Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.

ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.

Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.

Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия.

Scottorgaf

09 Jun 2025 - 12:57 pm

Tbilisi, Georgia — Jailed journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli gets weaker every day as her hunger strike has reached three weeks in Rustavi, a town near the Georgian capital of Tbilisi, her lawyer says. Now the 49-year-old is having difficulty walking the short distance from her cell to the room where they usually meet, and human rights officials, colleagues and family fear for her life.
kra30.at
Amaghlobeli was arrested Jan. 12 during an anti-government protest in the coastal city of Batumi, one of over 40 people in custody on criminal charges from a series of demonstrations that have hit the South Caucasus nation of 3.7 million in recent months.
kra24.cc
The political turmoil follows a parliamentary election that was won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, although its opponents allege the vote was rigged.

Protests highlight battle over Georgia's future. Here's why it matters.
Its outcome pushed Georgia further into Russia's orbit of influence. Georgia aspired to join the European Union, but the party suspended accession talks with the bloc after the election.

As it sought to cement its grip on power, Georgian Dream has cracked down on freedom of assembly and expression in what the opposition says is similar to President Vladimir Putin's actions in neighboring Russia, its former imperial ruler.
kra20 cc
https://kra25at.com

Modestozer

09 Jun 2025 - 11:33 am

Tbilisi, Georgia — Jailed journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli gets weaker every day as her hunger strike has reached three weeks in Rustavi, a town near the Georgian capital of Tbilisi, her lawyer says. Now the 49-year-old is having difficulty walking the short distance from her cell to the room where they usually meet, and human rights officials, colleagues and family fear for her life.
kra25 cc
Amaghlobeli was arrested Jan. 12 during an anti-government protest in the coastal city of Batumi, one of over 40 people in custody on criminal charges from a series of demonstrations that have hit the South Caucasus nation of 3.7 million in recent months.
kra24 at
The political turmoil follows a parliamentary election that was won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, although its opponents allege the vote was rigged.

Protests highlight battle over Georgia's future. Here's why it matters.
Its outcome pushed Georgia further into Russia's orbit of influence. Georgia aspired to join the European Union, but the party suspended accession talks with the bloc after the election.

As it sought to cement its grip on power, Georgian Dream has cracked down on freedom of assembly and expression in what the opposition says is similar to President Vladimir Putin's actions in neighboring Russia, its former imperial ruler.
kra26.at
https://kra-28.at

Modestozer

09 Jun 2025 - 09:28 am

Tbilisi, Georgia — Jailed journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli gets weaker every day as her hunger strike has reached three weeks in Rustavi, a town near the Georgian capital of Tbilisi, her lawyer says. Now the 49-year-old is having difficulty walking the short distance from her cell to the room where they usually meet, and human rights officials, colleagues and family fear for her life.
kra29.at
Amaghlobeli was arrested Jan. 12 during an anti-government protest in the coastal city of Batumi, one of over 40 people in custody on criminal charges from a series of demonstrations that have hit the South Caucasus nation of 3.7 million in recent months.
kra29.cc
The political turmoil follows a parliamentary election that was won by the ruling Georgian Dream party, although its opponents allege the vote was rigged.

Protests highlight battle over Georgia's future. Here's why it matters.
Its outcome pushed Georgia further into Russia's orbit of influence. Georgia aspired to join the European Union, but the party suspended accession talks with the bloc after the election.

As it sought to cement its grip on power, Georgian Dream has cracked down on freedom of assembly and expression in what the opposition says is similar to President Vladimir Putin's actions in neighboring Russia, its former imperial ruler.
kra27.at
https://kra26.net

Bryanron

09 Jun 2025 - 04:21 am

Lido Finance: Leading Liquid Staking Protocol
lido fi
Lido Finance is a decentralized platform that enables users to stake their cryptocurrencies and earn staking rewards while maintaining liquidity through tokenized assets. It is one of the most popular liquid staking solutions in the DeFi ecosystem, supporting multiple blockchains including Ethereum, Solana, and more.

Lido Overview
Lido allows users to stake their assets without locking them up, providing flexibility and liquidity. When users stake their tokens via Lido, they receive a corresponding staked token (e.g., stETH for Ethereum), which can be used in other DeFi protocols, traded, or held for rewards.

Lido Fi
Lido Fi refers to the broader ecosystem of decentralized finance activities built around Lido’s staking tokens. It includes yield farming, liquidity pools, and integrations with various DeFi platforms, enabling users to maximize their crypto assets' utility.

Lido Staking
Lido staking involves depositing supported cryptocurrencies (like ETH, SOL, or others) into the Lido protocol. In return, users receive staked tokens that accrue staking rewards over time. This process is designed to be user-friendly, secure, and accessible to both individual and institutional investors.

Lido Finance ETH Staking
Lido Finance ETH staking is one of its flagship features, allowing users to stake ETH without needing to run a validator node. By staking ETH through Lido, users receive stETH, which represents their staked ETH plus accrued rewards, and can be used across DeFi applications.

Lido Finance Crypto
Lido finance crypto encompasses the native tokens (like stETH for Ethereum, stSOL for Solana, etc.), governance tokens, and other assets within the Lido ecosystem. These tokens facilitate staking, liquidity provision, and governance participation.

Timothymot

08 Jun 2025 - 09:27 pm

Curve Finance: Leading DeFi Liquidity and Stablecoin Protocol
curve defi
Curve Finance is a decentralized exchange (DEX) optimized for stablecoin and low-volatility asset trading. Known for its efficient liquidity pools and low slippage, Curve has become a cornerstone in the DeFi ecosystem for stable asset swaps and liquidity provision.

Curve Fi
Curve Fi refers to the platform's core protocol that enables users to swap stablecoins and other similar assets with minimal slippage and low fees. It leverages specialized liquidity pools to facilitate efficient trading.

Curve Finance Crypto
Curve finance crypto encompasses the native tokens (such as CRV), liquidity provider tokens, and other assets within the Curve ecosystem. These tokens are used for governance, staking, and earning rewards.

Curve DeFi
Curve DeFi describes the broader decentralized finance ecosystem built around Curve’s liquidity pools and protocols. It includes yield farming, liquidity mining, and integrations with other DeFi platforms like Yearn, Convex, and more.

Curve Finance Liquidity Pool
A Curve liquidity pool is a smart contract that holds assets like stablecoins or similar tokens, allowing users to deposit and earn fees or rewards. These pools are optimized for low slippage and high efficiency, supporting large trading volumes.

Curve Finance Borrow
While primarily known for liquidity provision and swaps, Curve also supports borrowing mechanisms indirectly through integrations with lending protocols like Aave or Compound, where users can collateralize assets and borrow against their liquidity pool tokens.